Bardena vs Puyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LUN
3 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
58%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIN
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 2
BAR
22%
19%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PUY
3 - 4
AGR
56%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUY
3 - 1
ALE
64%
17%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 1
PUY
44%
20%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUN
2 - 2
PUY
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PUY
0 - 2
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |