Bardena vs Puyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REM
4 - 1
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 4
BAR
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNC
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PUY
4 - 2
BOR
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
4 - 3
PUY
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PUY
1 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REM
2 - 4
PUY
38%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PUY
4 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |