Bardena vs Luna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
BAR
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
BIO
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 4
SAN
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PUY
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MCD
2 - 3
BAR
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LUN
5 - 1
PIN
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNC
2 - 3
LUN
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LUN
1 - 0
NOV
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUN
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LUN
5 - 3
BIO
81%
12%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |