Bardena vs Luna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 1
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 3
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 5
BAR
42%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNC
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LUN
36%
21%
43%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 1
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 1
LUN
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LUN
1 - 0
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PUY
0 - 2
LUN
71%
15%
14%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |