Bardena vs Luna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 5
BAR
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALE
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 5
BAR
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 1
BAR
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LUN
1 - 2
BOR
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUN
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LUN
2 - 3
PUY
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LUN
2 - 5
DEP
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
3 - 1
LUN
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |