Bardena vs Luna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 4
PIN
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 5
REM
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LUN
4 - 2
PUY
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 4
LUN
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUN
6 - 0
UNC
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 2
LUN
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |