Bardena vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
PUY
2 - 1
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
PUY
18%
18%
64%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUN
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALE
47%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 3
BAR
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LUC
2 - 0
LUN
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LUC
8 - 1
ALE
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUC
3 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LUC
4 - 2
PRA
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LUC
4 - 3
UNC
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |