Bardena vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 2
BAR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUN
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOR
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PUY
4 - 2
BAR
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
5 - 5
BOR
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PUY
3 - 2
ALE
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 4
NOV
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
5 - 5
ALE
54%
19%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 4
REM
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |