Barco vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
5 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
BAR
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
UPH
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 2
BAR
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCV
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
OUR
2 - 2
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ALO
0 - 1
OUR
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARE
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
OUR
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 1
OUR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |