Barco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
RCV
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
3 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALO
43%
25%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIB
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
BER
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
BOU
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CER
1 - 1
DEP
33%
25%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 1
RCV
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOI
0 - 4
DEP
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |