Barco vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIV
2 - 0
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ASP
2 - 3
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
FIS
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UPH
0 - 0
BAR
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 2
OUR
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RIB
3 - 0
ARZ
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
UDO
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDA
1 - 0
ARZ
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |