Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAR
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ALL
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
BAR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
CHO
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 4
PON
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 3
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |