Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIV
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
RCV
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
PON
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
POL
20%
23%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NOI
3 - 0
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |