Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 3
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BER
2 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
UDO
1 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
RCF
28%
24%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHO
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 3
CHO
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 5
RCF
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHO
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 0
COM
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |