Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 1
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARO
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
RCV
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 2
SIL
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
23%
25%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DUB
3 - 4
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
ASP
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |