Barco vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
COX
0 - 1
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
GON
55%
26%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
PON
0 - 3
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
3 - 0
COM
24%
30%
46%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
VIV
0 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
CEL
3 - 0
PUE
70%
20%
10%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
LEM
0 - 0
CEL
38%
30%
32%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CEL
0 - 1
TYD
72%
19%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
CEL
3 - 0
COX
74%
18%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
GON
0 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |