Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 4-1
Barcelona vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 5
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FCB
2 - 3
MLL
65%
20%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
50%
23%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FCB
6 - 0
VCF
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WIS
1 - 0
TSP
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
WIS
5 - 0
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 1
WIS
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
WIS
1 - 2
WAR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 0
WIS
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |