UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 5-3
Barcelona vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
WIS
3 - 4
FCB
23%
22%
55%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 1
FCB
40%
25%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
61%
21%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VAD
2 - 2
FCB
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
WIS
1 - 0
OWD
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
GÓR
1 - 2
WIS
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
WIS
3 - 4
FCB
23%
22%
55%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
WLO
3 - 2
WIS
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
WIS
1 - 0
FCS
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |