Barcelona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
MLL
78%
15%
8%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 2
ESP
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
4 - 1
NUM
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GET
5 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 0
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |