Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 1-4Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ELC
0 - 4
FCB
8%
17%
75%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
76%
15%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
53%
23%
25%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RMA
6 - 0
VAD
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 0
LIV
42%
24%
35%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BET
0 - 0
RMA
19%
22%
58%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |