Champions League . Last 16
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
MLL
79%
14%
7%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
52%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 0
GET
76%
15%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
11%
19%
70%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 6
NAP
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |