Europa League . 1/16
Global 3-4
Barcelona vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCB
25%
23%
52%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BET
1 - 2
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GIR
0 - 1
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
0 - 2
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 2
LEE
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRY
69%
19%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 0
NTT
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 1
REA
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |