Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-1
Barcelona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.9%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.2%
+8
2.3%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
7.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
<0%
+6
8.9%
5-0
12.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
14%
4-0
15.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
18.6%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
3.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
3.3%
0.5%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 1
ESP
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 5
FCB
6%
13%
81%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 3
FCB
5%
13%
83%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 0
MON
82%
11%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
COR
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MLL
0 - 2
HER
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
ATB
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
3%
10%
87%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |