Barcelona vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 1
FCB
15%
21%
65%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
ALA
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
FCB
27%
25%
49%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
MON
91%
7%
1%
|
89 | 36 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 0
ANT
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIZ
0 - 2
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |