Barcelona vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
68%
18%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
30%
25%
45%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FCB
3 - 2
MLL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FCB
2 - 1
BIF
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HIB
0 - 4
CEL
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
GLA
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |