Barbaño vs Peña el Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbaño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
BAR
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOB
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COD
0 - 2
BAR
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
OBA
59%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peña el Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PVA
5 - 2
LOB
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OBA
1 - 1
PVA
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PVA
1 - 3
SFO
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
PVA
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PVA
1 - 1
ASQ
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |