Barbalha vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IGU
0 - 1
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 2
BAR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
IGU
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 2
CRA
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 3
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |