Barbadás vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALO
0 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOU
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
BET
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 2
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
CEL
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PON
0 - 1
CER
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CER
2 - 0
NAR
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
CER
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
NEG
2 - 2
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |