Barbadás vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEG
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCV
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALO
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
0 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
CEL
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PON
4 - 1
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
NAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
SOM
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NEG
1 - 1
CEL
47%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |