Barbadás vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.3%
72.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
SOM
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RCV
0 - 0
BAR
60%
25%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BOI
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 1
NOI
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRA
32%
28%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
GIM
2 - 0
ARE
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 1
RSO
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OSA
3 - 0
ARE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 1
ZAM
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ARE
2 - 1
LUG
48%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |