Baraunas vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
POT
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 4
ARN
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |