Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
82.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
VOL
2 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LID
1 - 2
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OFC
1 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
GOM
1 - 1
BAR
72%
17%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
DNM
0 - 2
BAT
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BAT
3 - 0
NEM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAT
3 - 0
SLA
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
BAT
2 - 1
ISL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
BAT
2 - 1
SPU
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |