Baralt FC vs UA Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baralt FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ANG
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ZUL
0 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
TUR
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TRU
1 - 0
UCL
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 2
UCV
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TUR
1 - 0
TRU
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GAS
0 - 3
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |