Barakaldo vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RMC
0 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAJ
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CDE
0 - 1
BAR
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
ROD
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
ZEN
2 - 0
VCF
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VCF
1 - 1
UDL
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 5
VCF
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
VCF
26%
27%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |