Barakaldo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BAR
4 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
RCF
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
MAL
4 - 2
OVI
67%
17%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 4
SPO
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
3 - 3
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ATH
3 - 3
OVI
87%
8%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
6 - 3
VAD
54%
21%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |