Barakaldo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 3
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
AGD
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
AGD
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |