Barakaldo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1948 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAR
59%
19%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPO
51%
20%
30%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
RAC
2 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAR
5 - 1
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
RCF
1 - 0
BAR
62%
18%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
HER
5 - 3
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
49%
21%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 4
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |