Barakaldo vs SD Gernika analysis

Barakaldo SD Gernika
51 ELO 47
8.2% Tilt -11.2%
1902º General ELO ranking 5010º
66º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
61%
Barakaldo
21.3%
Draw
17.7%
SD Gernika

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
Barakaldo
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
SD Gernika
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barakaldo
-5%
-12%
SD Gernika

Points and table prediction

Barakaldo
Their league position
SD Gernika
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
43
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bilbao Ath.
82
82
100%
Barakaldo
76
76
100%
UD Logroñés
71
71
100%
Utebo
61
61
100%
Deportivo Aragón
56
56
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
52
52
100%
Tudelano
48
48
100%
Barbastro
47
47
0%
Real Sociedad C
47
47
0%
CD Calahorra
10º
46
46
10º
100%
SD Gernika
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Arenas de Getxo
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Izarra
13º
36
36
13º
100%
AD San Juan
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Mutilvera
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Náxara
16º
24
24
16º
100%
CD Valle de Egüés
17º
21
21
17º
100%
Brea
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barakaldo
SD Gernika
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barakaldo
SD Gernika
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barakaldo
Barakaldo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
RSO
Real Sociedad C
0 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
42%
26%
33%
50 48 2 0
08 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 0
Náxara
NAX
78%
15%
8%
50 36 14 0
01 Oct. 2023
TUD
Tudelano
0 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
40%
27%
34%
49 49 0 +1
24 Sep. 2023
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 1
CD Calahorra
CLH
46%
25%
29%
49 51 2 0
16 Sep. 2023
UFC
Utebo
1 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
31%
26%
43%
49 44 5 0

Matches

SD Gernika
SD Gernika
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
GER
SD Gernika
2 - 2
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
55%
25%
21%
47 44 3 0
08 Oct. 2023
SJU
AD San Juan
0 - 0
SD Gernika
GER
29%
27%
44%
47 43 4 0
01 Oct. 2023
GER
SD Gernika
1 - 1
Mutilvera
UDM
50%
25%
25%
47 44 3 0
24 Sep. 2023
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
1 - 1
SD Gernika
GER
46%
25%
29%
47 47 0 0
17 Sep. 2023
GER
SD Gernika
3 - 1
Deportivo Alavés B
ALA
29%
27%
43%
45 51 6 +2