Barakaldo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
OVI
2 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
BUR
33%
31%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CUL
2 - 2
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
SLA
16%
26%
59%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ZAL
1 - 2
BAR
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ATH
2 - 2
CFP
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATH
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PON
3 - 1
ATH
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |