Barajas vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barajas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TDA
2 - 2
BAR
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
EMF
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
DEC
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 1
BAR
49%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
TAL
30%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EFC
2 - 0
VRO
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 3
EFC
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EFC
5 - 2
FTO
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TOB
1 - 2
EFC
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
EFC
3 - 0
PLU
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |