Baradero vs Defensores de Salto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baradero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARP
0 - 0
BAR
25%
22%
52%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROJ
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EMI
0 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUV
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 1
ARP
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ROJ
3 - 2
DEF
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
5 - 1
EMI
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
SBA
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |