Liga Dos China Promotion Play-offs 1/16
Global 4-1
Baoding Yingli vs Hainan Boying Seamen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baoding Yingli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HBS
0 - 1
BAY
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 1
JIB
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ZSU
0 - 1
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
BIT
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HEB
4 - 1
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hainan Boying Seamen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HBS
0 - 1
BAY
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HBS
0 - 0
SHR
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIJ
1 - 1
HBS
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AHG
0 - 3
HBS
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HBS
1 - 2
SDO
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |