Baniyas vs Al Dhafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
11º
12
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baniyas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DIB
1 - 4
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 1
ALN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 3
SHA
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
2 - 0
BAY
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WAH
4 - 2
ALD
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
BAT
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
3 - 1
ALD
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAS
4 - 0
ALD
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 2
SAD
15%
25%
60%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |