Baniyas vs Al Dhafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baniyas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
ALI
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
DUB
0 - 2
BAY
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
WAS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAY
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 3
AIN
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
ALD
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
SAD
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AHD
1 - 1
ALD
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALN
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
WAH
3 - 0
ALD
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |