Bangu vs Miguel Couto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
IFC
1 - 2
BAN
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
3 - 1
CER
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAN
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 0
ANG
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BON
1 - 1
BAN
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Miguel Couto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MIG
2 - 2
SEC
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 0
MIG
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MIG
0 - 0
CER
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIG
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +1 |