Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RES
3 - 0
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAB
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
86%
12%
2%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 5
FLU
4%
13%
83%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FLU
4 - 0
MAD
85%
12%
2%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |