Bangu vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
70.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MES
3 - 1
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 0
AFC
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
OLA
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 1
BAN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 0
BAN
25%
25%
51%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FRI
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ATP
5 - 3
FLA
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FLA
3 - 3
GOI
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CRZ
3 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FLA
5 - 2
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |