Bangu vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
OLA
2 - 0
BAN
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
80%
15%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 3
BOA
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 4
FLU
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
23%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
PPE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |