Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
70.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 0
BAN
87%
11%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOA
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RES
0 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLU
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
VOL
82%
14%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |