Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
BAN
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
RES
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
PET
3 - 0
BAN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 2
FRI
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
3 - 2
ANG
67%
22%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
54%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
LUV
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |